Categories
COVID-19 Economics Politics

How Wealthy Elites Chose to Betray the American Working Class…

Greed is not new, but previous generations learned hard lessons about the perils of consolidating wealth in too few hands. The gilded age led to the Great Depression of the 1890’s, and the roaring 20’s led to the stock market crash of 1929 and the great depression of the 1930’s.

Out of necessity, FDR instituted the new deal framework that reined in excessive financial speculation and established the modern social safety net. Add in expanded access to college education and home ownership in the 1950’s and you have the largest and most prosperous working class in global history.

Then Lewis Powell writes the Powell memo to the US Chamber of Commerce in 1971 as a call to arms for American corporations to co-opt the media, university system, and the government to advance the interest of American corporations. Powell was appointed to the Supreme Court in 1972 while major corporations deployed the strategy outlined in the memo.

American wealthy elites learned from 1950-1970, broad based prosperity was too expensive because they could not control the American people. By 1970, working class Americans were transforming the country through the civil rights movement,  anti-war movement, equal rights movement, and were attempting to organize a poor man’s march on Washington D.C. when Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. was assassinated in Memphis.

Yet the wealthy elites knew the lessons of previous efforts to consolidate wealth in too few hands had led to ruinous depressions. Their solution was to make wealth insulated from depressions by privatizing profits and socializing losses.

First, President Reagan dealt a death knell to the American Labor movement by firing the striking air traffic controllers in 1981. Then President HW Bush negotiated, and President Bill Clinton supported the ratification of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which de-industrialized America by off-shoring millions of manufacturing jobs.

By the late 1990’s, Wall Street forced Congress to repeal Glass-Steagall by merging Travelers Insurance with Citibank, which gave Congress one year to break up the largest financial services company in the world. Congress caved and repealed Glass-Steagall. Then in the lame duck Congress at the end of Bill Clinton’s presidency, Congress passed sweeping legislation deregulating complex financial instruments.

Wall Street then utilized complex collateralized debt obligations rated AAA by captive credit rating agencies to loot restricted institutional investors like pension funds, life insurance companies and municipal investors, and prey on unsuspecting residential mortgage holders. By the end of 2006, institutional investors stopped buying the mis-rated securities, which trapped homeowners in rapidly escalating adjustable rate mortgages and destroyed the investment banks that got caught holding trillions of dollars of worthless securities.

Some banks hedged their fraudulent investments with credit default swaps that bankrupted AIG (the world’s largest insurance company). Wall Street’s exit strategy was “too big to fail”, perfectly executed by former Goldman CEO, Hank Paulsen, who was selected to be W’s perfectly timed Treasury Secretary.

The great recession protected wealth while millions of Americans lost jobs, homes, pensions, and retirement savings. No major player went to jail because President Clinton made the complex financial instruments legal, and President Obama refused to use the RICO laws to prosecute the rampant fraud on the American people (Google “William K Black”).

The method was replicated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The CARES Act gave temporary support to individuals and small businesses (which expired by August 2020), while authorizing the Federal Reserve to ‘invest’ $4.25T in large multi-national corporations. By year-end, 2020 GDP contracted 3.5%, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average index increased 7.2%, S&P 500 increased 16.3%, Russell 2000 increased 18.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 43.9%. US billionaires net worth increased over a trillion dollars, while 30% of all small businesses failed, and workers with annual wages of $26,000 or less lost 10 million jobs.

Thankfully, the American working class is fighting back. For the first time in 40 years, there are multiple strikes ongoing across America involving thousands of workers in deep red (Alabama) and dark blue (New York) states. The great resignation has totaled over 32 million workers with monthly recurring all-time records in August (4.2 million workers quit) and September (4.3 million).

Now is the time for each of us to decide with whom do we stand?

I stand with the working class.

Categories
COVID-19 Personal Growth

Nothing to Fear

Are you sovereign?

You appear free, unencumbered by physical constraints, and in possession of the ability to make choices.

Yet look where we are…

Isolated, socially distant, living virtually, hiding behind masks, fearful of strangers…finding security in the magic injections provided by multi-national pharmaceutical companies who demonstrate they are more concerned about profits than saving as many lives as possible.

Are you safe now? Just long enough to buy the next booster shot. More magic from the Wizard.

How did we get so weak?

COVID-19 is more than a virus…it is a metaphor for all the reasons we are encouraged to give away our sovereignty.

Life is filled with many possibilities; some good and some bad. What actually happens in our lives is a function of choices we control and choices beyond our control. When a challenge like COVID-19 appears in our lives, we can choose to put our focus on the choices we can control or defer to choices outside our control.

We can make the choice to support our immune system. COVID-19 preys on compromised immune systems. For healthy, fully supported immune systems, COVID-19 is less dangerous than driving your car.

Or we can succumb to the fear that we are unable to protect ourselves without the paid assistance of a for-profit manufacturer who denies the magic injection to billions of people unable to pay their ransom.

What could go wrong?

For those of us with compromised immune systems, take a look at your medicine cabinet. Notice how what ails you never gets cured? Medication is designed to maintain you in relative ‘comfort’, just for as long as you keep taking it…forever. Will you ever get tired of being someone’s revenue stream?

This is what happens when you give your sovereignty away.

Yet you still have a choice.

Our bodies are designed to heal. Find out what your body needs to produce wellness and do that.

The moment we reclaim our sovereignty, we will realize we have nothing to fear.

Categories
COVID-19 Personal Growth Social Evolution

The Elephant in the Room

We are all victims of cognitive dissonance, inspired by a society based on lies that our souls know aren’t true. Time to call a spade a spade so we can all find peace.

We are not free. If we were, we would spend our time doing what brings us joy.

We are not independent. If we were, we would produce our own air, water, food, shelter, atmospheric pressure, biodiversity, language, and everything else we need to survive.

Competition is toxic when you must compete to eat. Currently, 12% of American households report food shortages. COVID-19 revealed in the competition for resources to take care of ourselves and our families, we are defeating the essential workers of our society…who are amongst the lowest earners in America.

Self-Interest is self-defeating. How long would any of us survive if we had to rely only on what our family and friends produce?

What is true is humanity grew to dominate our planet by working together against our predators. And now that our predators are defeated, we are defeating each other and the natural ecology that sustains us.

To wake up from the nightmare we are living, all we need to do is remember who we are and how we survive each day.

Had enough of this nightmare? Time to wake up and participate in co-creating a world worth living in.

Categories
COVID-19 Economics Social Evolution

Thoughtlessness…Our Persistent Pandemic

How do we get to a place where we fear/hate/harm the hands that serve us?

Democrats hating Republicans…
MAGA hating the establishment political parties…
Rural people hating City Slickers…
Wall Street hating Main Street…
Rich hating Poor…
Capitalists hating Environmentalists…
Us hating Them…
Everyone hating Anyone who hates them first…

Thoughtlessness.

How do we come to accept popular virtues as truth when they are disproved by our actual experience?

Independence…None of us live independently.

Freedom…Financial freedom only buys what other people produce.

Competition…When our bodies produce cells that compete we call it cancer. As such, humanity is a growing cancer in the ecology that sustains us.

Self interest…produced the richest family in America, who employs hundreds of thousands of people that qualify for food stamps.

Thoughtlessness.

When we consider America’s response to the COVID-19 Pandemic…

We exercised our freedom to wear a mask or not;

We asserted our independence by socially distancing or not;

We demonstrated our insatiable competitive spirit by reopening local economies far too early;

We revealed the dominant self interest by directing trillions of dollars to Wall Street while a third of all small businesses failed, working class employment plummeted 20%, and 12% of American households report food shortages;

And the culmination is 600,000 pandemic related deaths and counting, 33% of US households expecting eviction or foreclosure due to unemployment, while Wall Street booms (Nasdaq Composite up 43.6% in 2020 vs. 2019) and the billionaire class gained a trillion dollars in new net worth.

Thoughtlessness.

Can we find our way out of the swamp of thoughtlessness?

Absolutely.

Our persistent thoughtlessness pandemic will end the moment a critical mass of us remember who we are…

One human family, interdependently reliant on each other and the natural environment that sustains us.

Categories
COVID-19 Economics Social Evolution

2021 – The Year of the Economy

Recently I read a book written by economist, Stephanie Kelton, called the “The Deficit Myth”, which provided a comprehensive analysis on modern monetary theory (MMT). In essence, deficits do not matter because as a sovereign fiat currency nation who’s debt is entirely in our own currency, the United States can spend as much money as we need with inflation being our only limiting factor. While I concur with the validity of MMT, I differ with Stephanie’s claim that politicians in both political parties are not already thoroughly versed in MMT. They are. And the implications are transformative.

The most cursory review of historical economy data shows two generations of politicians have purposely driven federal debt from $1 Trillion dollars in 1980 to over $27 Trillion dollars currently through the use of MMT.

Deficit spending paid for trillions of dollars of military spending, regressive tax cuts, a new entitlement (Medicare Part D) converted into a multi-trillion dollar boondoggle for the pharmaceutical industry by making bulk purchase pricing illegal, and a deregulation scheme that gutted environmental protection laws and repealed Glass-Steagall (to whom we have Bill Clinton to thank!). And pursuant to MMT, the trillions of dollars in annual deficits funneled surpluses to the private sector.

Tragically, fiscal policy supported by both political parties targeted the trillions in surpluses to the wealthiest Americans via trade agreements (GATT and NAFTA) that allowed American multi-national corporations to off-shore labor, assets, and profits further avoiding US taxation, while simultaneously forcing US labor to compete for jobs with 3rd world labor.

The GINI coefficient is the economic data point used to measure income and wealth inequality. A GINI coefficient of 0 equals perfect economic equality and 1 equals absolute economic inequality. According to the World Bank, the 1979 GINI coefficient in the US was .345 verses 2019 of .48 (source: Statista). 2019 US GINI coefficient is tied for the 20th most unequal economy in the world with Costa Rica, and by far the most unequal of all G7 nations (UK is #2 with .392). Yet this was all before COVID-19.

Since COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic, the US Congress has approved multiple stimulus packages with the most significant being the CARES Act approved the end of March 2020, and the recent $900 Billion dollar stimulus package. The CARES Act on its face included $2.2 Trillion dollars in economic stimulus, but also authorized the Federal Reserve to invest ten times the $425 Billion dollar allocation for corporations with more than 500 employees (or $4.25 Trillion dollars). A rough estimate of the distribution of the two stimulus packages follows:

Small Businesses (less than 500 employees) and Individuals =

$320B ($1,200 one time payments)

$160B ($600 one time payments)

$300B ($600/week Pandemic Unemployment Assistance or PUA

$  63B ($300/week PUA)

$480B (80% Payroll Protection Program or PPP; 20% poached by large corporations)

$285B (PPP 2nd round)

$  25B (Rent support)

$  10B (Child care)

$1.643 Trillion dollars

(25.2% of the two primary stimulus packages)

Large Corporations (500+ employees)

$  75B (Airlines)

$425B (large co. with 500+ employees)

$4,250B (Fed Reserve Investment)

$120B (PPP poaching)

$  15B (Airline 2nd stimulus)

$4.885 Trillion dollars

(74.8% of the two primary stimulus packages)

$6.528 Trillion dollars*

*(Total allocated excludes approximately $822 Billion dollars largely for emergency services, state & local government support, vaccination purchases & distribution, and a laundry list of heinous pork).

By the end of 2020, the economic damage of COVID-19 includes a 31% contraction in 2Q20 GDP (vs. 1Q20), 33% growth in 3Q20 GDP (vs. 2Q20 or 90% annualized of 2019 GDP), small businesses in operation down 29% since January 2020, net job loss of approximately 10 million jobs (primarily for jobs with annual salaries of $27k/year or less where employment is down 20%; jobs with annual salaries over $60k/year have returned to pre-COVID-19 employment levels). 4Q20 data, including the critical holiday shopping season (Fed Chair stated retail sales are sluggish), have yet to be reported.

Given the fiscal stimulus has been heavily skewed toward large corporations verses small businesses or individuals (75% vs. 25%), Wall Street posted historic gains despite the global pandemic:

DOW industrials up 7.2% verses 2019

S&P 500 up 16.3%

Russell 2000 up 18.4%

NASDAQ composite up 43.6% (highest since 2009)

Source: Wall Street Journal

As of 11/30/2020, US Billionaires’ net worth increased $1 Trillion dollars since the pandemic began (Source: Statista and Americans for Tax Fairness).

According to the US Census Household Pulse Survey completed 12/21/2020:

33% of US households are having a hard time covering basic expenses.

33% expect joblessness to lead to eviction in the next 60 days.

12% report food shortages for their household.

Accordingly, COVID-19 has provided our political leaders the opportunity to use over $9 Trillion dollars** in deficit spending and stimulus to exacerbate income and wealth inequality in America.

**($9T = $5T in deficits (2020: $3.7T; 2021 so far: $1.329T [source: Congressional Budget Office] + $4.25T from the Federal Reserve)

This is the US pandemic economy.

The American people cannot rely on the current political parties or politicians or establishment political or economic commentators for constructive support in rebuilding the post-COVID-19 economy.

Recently (according to Reuters), Paul Krugman announced he expects the US economic recovery from the pandemic to be “much faster and continue much longer than many people expect.” The Nobel Laureate in Economics cites higher US savings rate and pent up demand as the drivers for the US economic recovery. Undoubtedly, the extraordinary savings and pent up demand must be from the 60% of American households (excluding 29% small business failures) that are not living paycheck to paycheck and can afford a $400 unexpected expense. Tragically, 40% of US households do not qualify (according to Federal Reserve data & a Harvard University study).

Solutions to the economic challenges facing people impacted by COVID-19 will not be coming from establishment sources.

Therefore, I strongly recommend focusing our attention regarding the post-pandemic economy on non-establishment commentators such as Richard Wolff, Yanis Varoufaukis, Peter Joseph, Chris Hedges, and Yuval Noah Harari.

Yuval Harari has written extensively about the economic impact of technological disruption, which has been accelerated by COVID-19. Take note of the extraordinary performance of the tech companies on the NASDAQ composite (up 43.6% vs. 2019). Large industrial corporations like General Motors (beyond buying back their own shares) are investing in automated technology to dramatically reduce the cost structure of their business models in anticipation of materially lower aggregate demand in the near term (3 to 5 years). Accelerating automation will make large portions of the working class “economically irrelevant” (according to Yuval Harari).

This is the discussion we need to have on the new post-pandemic economy.

Ecological sustainability is the reason why we must not simply restore the pre-COVID economy. While the climate science and global environmental events are irrefutable, powerful carbon based energy interests continue to block meaningful progress to keep global average temperature increases from exceeding the critical limit of 1.5 degrees.

The prospect of a sixth mass extinction event has been warned by diverse commentators including Pope Frances (see his 2015 encyclical “Laudato Si”) and David Attenborough (see his latest documentary released in September 2020: “A Life on Our Planet”).

The time is urgently now to escape the binary mythology of capitalism (developed in the 1700’s) or socialism (developed in the 1800’s), and innovate an economy of the 21st century. Much work has been done in this area.

Peter Joseph founded the Zeitgeist Movement (see https://www.thezeitgeistmovement.com/about/) in 2008 as a science based economic sustainability project, which advocates for a global resource management economic system informed by open source innovation and utilizing decentralized production. Peter is a deeply thoughtful, exceptionally articulate advocate for a new, redefined economy that aligns with equality and ecological sustainability. Peter’s latest book “The New Human Rights Movement” was made into his latest film “InterReflections”, which was released October 2020.

If 2020 was the year of COVID-19, 2021 will be the year of the Economy.

To meet the challenges of the new pandemic economy, it behooves each of us to break with the conventional narrative in order to shift our consideration towards building a future worthy of our progeny.

Categories
COVID-19 Social Evolution

Remember

Often times in life we do not realize what we cherish until we have lost it.

Occasionally we are afforded a glimpse of what life would be without our cherished desire, and the experience serves as a vivid reminder we can never forget.

2020 is our vivid reminder of our need for human touch.

Remember…

Seeing the smile of a stranger you held the door for…

Feeling a firm handshake of a new acquaintance…

Receiving a hug from a friend simply because you needed one…

Immersing in the exhilaration of the crowd at a great music concert…

Shimmying up to the bar to order drinks during happy hour…

Participating in the wave at your favorite sporting event…

Squeezing in to a fully occupied elevator and feeling relieved because you made it in time…

This used to be our normal lives.

Life without human touch is sterile, virtual, and isolated.

Our communication lacks depth because like texting it is uninformed by body language or vibration.

We are reduced to digital simulations that can more easily be labeled and categorized.

Consideration is quaint.

Cancel culture is rampant.

Mutual understanding is obsolete.

This is the new normal.

Never forget how we feel today.

Yet we will move past COVID-19. The health implications of social interaction will restore to normal.

We will have the opportunity to reconnect with each other.

How we connect will be a function of the perspective we have gained.

We are one humanity.

Interdependently nourished by the natural environment that sustains us.

Remember…

Categories
COVID-19 Social Evolution

Time to build…

When we reopen the economy, how much money will be spent on goods and services?

Post-COVID-19 hurdles include Health security & financial security.

If Demand=Jobs=Money, then

Low demand=few jobs=scarce money=abandoned resources=worse than 1932

Solution: Money can no longer be a surrogate for resources.

In the housing crisis that led to the great recession of 2008-9, money evaporated from the economy, leading to the abandonment of millions of homes due to defaulted mortgages, which destroyed billions of dollars worth of resources from neglect.

We do not need to repeat 2008-9, 1929-39 or worse.

We just need to acknowledge that money is not the same as resources, and devise another means of distributing resources.

Contemplate a resource management based economic system.

Sustainability is the central tenet.

Utilization is the currency.

Gluttony & waste are global security vices.

Stewardship of resources, not ownership, is a virtue.

Consideration for the well being of our progeny becomes an obsession.

Sounds like Utopia?

So did free market capitalism compared to hunter-gatherer-barter societies, medievalism, and colonialism.

Utopia is actually just the next step in our social evolution.

The Bubonic plague of 1346-53, ending in the Great plague of 1665-66, destroyed Mercantilism in Europe creating space for free market capitalism.

Today, COVID-19 has destroyed our modern, integrated, free market economy.

The post-COVID-19 economy will require a systemic recapitalization.

The only question remaining is what new economy will we choose to build.

Categories
COVID-19

Our time has arrived…

We are living at a transformative moment in history. Whenever shelter in place ends, we will all have an opportunity to participate in how to rebuild society and the economy.

The one advantage to shutting down the non-essential economy is deciding what is worth re-investing in. For many people, this reality may sound frightening, but consider how we were living was not sustainable for the country or the world.

The cost of what was normal life included rapidly approaching soil depletion putting our food supply at risk, increasing regularity of once in a lifetime weather catastrophes due to global warming, devastating collapse of biodiversity involving species extinctions, and global resource utilization challenging the Earth’s carrying capacity. The last problem is so severe there is growing support for significant population growth controls.

As such, normal life was going to change.

Thankfully, we now have a unique opportunity to reconsider how we use global resources in order to establish a new life that is sustainable.

We each have a role to play in the formation of the post-COVID-19 economy and society.

Please appreciate the fact that people will be making these decisions whether we participate or not.

My hope is each of you will give serious thought to how we can all participate in this rare opportunity to develop a sustainable society for ourselves and our progeny.