Categories
Economics Personal Growth Social Evolution

The Urgency of Now


As Americans, the virtues we are encouraged to use as guideposts for success impede our personal fulfillment because they are at odds with how we exist each day.

Nothing in nature lives independently. By design, we all are interdependent on each other and the natural environment that provides for us.

When the cells in our body compete we call the condition cancer. Humanity is functioning like cancer to the ecology that sustains us.

We can’t experience the luxuries of our modern lives based only on what our family, friends, and people like us produce. Self interest at the expense of the common interest is self defeating.

Once we remember we survive daily based on the contributions of many people we will never know, the well being of all of us becomes as important as our own well being.

Why must we remember now?

We face global challenges beyond the capacity of self interest to mitigate:

1. Climate crisis – we are within 15 years of exceeding average global surface temperature increase since 1850 of 1.5 degrees Celsius.

2. Income & wealth inequality is destroying democratic institutions and destabilizing national governments, which is leading to severe polarization and mass migration of under resourced populations.

3. Nuclear weapons proliferation – Iran will be the next nation to obtain nuclear weapons because their most powerful enemies (Israel and U.S.A) have nuclear weapons. This is not new. India responded similarly to Pakistan obtaining nuclear weapons.

4. Technological disruption due to automation and artificial intelligence is displacing low skilled labor and ultimately highly skilled labor. Since technology is owned by the wealthy elites through control of multi-national corporations, income & wealth inequality is exacerbated because income from automated productivity goes to the owners of technology. Masses of people are becoming economically irrelevant.

While our Earth is abundant, self-interest has rendered humanity impotent in the face of extinction level challenges. 

Yet we still have a choice, if only we remember who we are.

Categories
COVID-19 Economics Social Evolution

Thoughtlessness…Our Persistent Pandemic

How do we get to a place where we fear/hate/harm the hands that serve us?

Democrats hating Republicans…
MAGA hating the establishment political parties…
Rural people hating City Slickers…
Wall Street hating Main Street…
Rich hating Poor…
Capitalists hating Environmentalists…
Us hating Them…
Everyone hating Anyone who hates them first…

Thoughtlessness.

How do we come to accept popular virtues as truth when they are disproved by our actual experience?

Independence…None of us live independently.

Freedom…Financial freedom only buys what other people produce.

Competition…When our bodies produce cells that compete we call it cancer. As such, humanity is a growing cancer in the ecology that sustains us.

Self interest…produced the richest family in America, who employs hundreds of thousands of people that qualify for food stamps.

Thoughtlessness.

When we consider America’s response to the COVID-19 Pandemic…

We exercised our freedom to wear a mask or not;

We asserted our independence by socially distancing or not;

We demonstrated our insatiable competitive spirit by reopening local economies far too early;

We revealed the dominant self interest by directing trillions of dollars to Wall Street while a third of all small businesses failed, working class employment plummeted 20%, and 12% of American households report food shortages;

And the culmination is 600,000 pandemic related deaths and counting, 33% of US households expecting eviction or foreclosure due to unemployment, while Wall Street booms (Nasdaq Composite up 43.6% in 2020 vs. 2019) and the billionaire class gained a trillion dollars in new net worth.

Thoughtlessness.

Can we find our way out of the swamp of thoughtlessness?

Absolutely.

Our persistent thoughtlessness pandemic will end the moment a critical mass of us remember who we are…

One human family, interdependently reliant on each other and the natural environment that sustains us.

Categories
COVID-19 Economics Social Evolution

2021 – The Year of the Economy

Recently I read a book written by economist, Stephanie Kelton, called the “The Deficit Myth”, which provided a comprehensive analysis on modern monetary theory (MMT). In essence, deficits do not matter because as a sovereign fiat currency nation who’s debt is entirely in our own currency, the United States can spend as much money as we need with inflation being our only limiting factor. While I concur with the validity of MMT, I differ with Stephanie’s claim that politicians in both political parties are not already thoroughly versed in MMT. They are. And the implications are transformative.

The most cursory review of historical economy data shows two generations of politicians have purposely driven federal debt from $1 Trillion dollars in 1980 to over $27 Trillion dollars currently through the use of MMT.

Deficit spending paid for trillions of dollars of military spending, regressive tax cuts, a new entitlement (Medicare Part D) converted into a multi-trillion dollar boondoggle for the pharmaceutical industry by making bulk purchase pricing illegal, and a deregulation scheme that gutted environmental protection laws and repealed Glass-Steagall (to whom we have Bill Clinton to thank!). And pursuant to MMT, the trillions of dollars in annual deficits funneled surpluses to the private sector.

Tragically, fiscal policy supported by both political parties targeted the trillions in surpluses to the wealthiest Americans via trade agreements (GATT and NAFTA) that allowed American multi-national corporations to off-shore labor, assets, and profits further avoiding US taxation, while simultaneously forcing US labor to compete for jobs with 3rd world labor.

The GINI coefficient is the economic data point used to measure income and wealth inequality. A GINI coefficient of 0 equals perfect economic equality and 1 equals absolute economic inequality. According to the World Bank, the 1979 GINI coefficient in the US was .345 verses 2019 of .48 (source: Statista). 2019 US GINI coefficient is tied for the 20th most unequal economy in the world with Costa Rica, and by far the most unequal of all G7 nations (UK is #2 with .392). Yet this was all before COVID-19.

Since COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic, the US Congress has approved multiple stimulus packages with the most significant being the CARES Act approved the end of March 2020, and the recent $900 Billion dollar stimulus package. The CARES Act on its face included $2.2 Trillion dollars in economic stimulus, but also authorized the Federal Reserve to invest ten times the $425 Billion dollar allocation for corporations with more than 500 employees (or $4.25 Trillion dollars). A rough estimate of the distribution of the two stimulus packages follows:

Small Businesses (less than 500 employees) and Individuals =

$320B ($1,200 one time payments)

$160B ($600 one time payments)

$300B ($600/week Pandemic Unemployment Assistance or PUA

$  63B ($300/week PUA)

$480B (80% Payroll Protection Program or PPP; 20% poached by large corporations)

$285B (PPP 2nd round)

$  25B (Rent support)

$  10B (Child care)

$1.643 Trillion dollars

(25.2% of the two primary stimulus packages)

Large Corporations (500+ employees)

$  75B (Airlines)

$425B (large co. with 500+ employees)

$4,250B (Fed Reserve Investment)

$120B (PPP poaching)

$  15B (Airline 2nd stimulus)

$4.885 Trillion dollars

(74.8% of the two primary stimulus packages)

$6.528 Trillion dollars*

*(Total allocated excludes approximately $822 Billion dollars largely for emergency services, state & local government support, vaccination purchases & distribution, and a laundry list of heinous pork).

By the end of 2020, the economic damage of COVID-19 includes a 31% contraction in 2Q20 GDP (vs. 1Q20), 33% growth in 3Q20 GDP (vs. 2Q20 or 90% annualized of 2019 GDP), small businesses in operation down 29% since January 2020, net job loss of approximately 10 million jobs (primarily for jobs with annual salaries of $27k/year or less where employment is down 20%; jobs with annual salaries over $60k/year have returned to pre-COVID-19 employment levels). 4Q20 data, including the critical holiday shopping season (Fed Chair stated retail sales are sluggish), have yet to be reported.

Given the fiscal stimulus has been heavily skewed toward large corporations verses small businesses or individuals (75% vs. 25%), Wall Street posted historic gains despite the global pandemic:

DOW industrials up 7.2% verses 2019

S&P 500 up 16.3%

Russell 2000 up 18.4%

NASDAQ composite up 43.6% (highest since 2009)

Source: Wall Street Journal

As of 11/30/2020, US Billionaires’ net worth increased $1 Trillion dollars since the pandemic began (Source: Statista and Americans for Tax Fairness).

According to the US Census Household Pulse Survey completed 12/21/2020:

33% of US households are having a hard time covering basic expenses.

33% expect joblessness to lead to eviction in the next 60 days.

12% report food shortages for their household.

Accordingly, COVID-19 has provided our political leaders the opportunity to use over $9 Trillion dollars** in deficit spending and stimulus to exacerbate income and wealth inequality in America.

**($9T = $5T in deficits (2020: $3.7T; 2021 so far: $1.329T [source: Congressional Budget Office] + $4.25T from the Federal Reserve)

This is the US pandemic economy.

The American people cannot rely on the current political parties or politicians or establishment political or economic commentators for constructive support in rebuilding the post-COVID-19 economy.

Recently (according to Reuters), Paul Krugman announced he expects the US economic recovery from the pandemic to be “much faster and continue much longer than many people expect.” The Nobel Laureate in Economics cites higher US savings rate and pent up demand as the drivers for the US economic recovery. Undoubtedly, the extraordinary savings and pent up demand must be from the 60% of American households (excluding 29% small business failures) that are not living paycheck to paycheck and can afford a $400 unexpected expense. Tragically, 40% of US households do not qualify (according to Federal Reserve data & a Harvard University study).

Solutions to the economic challenges facing people impacted by COVID-19 will not be coming from establishment sources.

Therefore, I strongly recommend focusing our attention regarding the post-pandemic economy on non-establishment commentators such as Richard Wolff, Yanis Varoufaukis, Peter Joseph, Chris Hedges, and Yuval Noah Harari.

Yuval Harari has written extensively about the economic impact of technological disruption, which has been accelerated by COVID-19. Take note of the extraordinary performance of the tech companies on the NASDAQ composite (up 43.6% vs. 2019). Large industrial corporations like General Motors (beyond buying back their own shares) are investing in automated technology to dramatically reduce the cost structure of their business models in anticipation of materially lower aggregate demand in the near term (3 to 5 years). Accelerating automation will make large portions of the working class “economically irrelevant” (according to Yuval Harari).

This is the discussion we need to have on the new post-pandemic economy.

Ecological sustainability is the reason why we must not simply restore the pre-COVID economy. While the climate science and global environmental events are irrefutable, powerful carbon based energy interests continue to block meaningful progress to keep global average temperature increases from exceeding the critical limit of 1.5 degrees.

The prospect of a sixth mass extinction event has been warned by diverse commentators including Pope Frances (see his 2015 encyclical “Laudato Si”) and David Attenborough (see his latest documentary released in September 2020: “A Life on Our Planet”).

The time is urgently now to escape the binary mythology of capitalism (developed in the 1700’s) or socialism (developed in the 1800’s), and innovate an economy of the 21st century. Much work has been done in this area.

Peter Joseph founded the Zeitgeist Movement (see https://www.thezeitgeistmovement.com/about/) in 2008 as a science based economic sustainability project, which advocates for a global resource management economic system informed by open source innovation and utilizing decentralized production. Peter is a deeply thoughtful, exceptionally articulate advocate for a new, redefined economy that aligns with equality and ecological sustainability. Peter’s latest book “The New Human Rights Movement” was made into his latest film “InterReflections”, which was released October 2020.

If 2020 was the year of COVID-19, 2021 will be the year of the Economy.

To meet the challenges of the new pandemic economy, it behooves each of us to break with the conventional narrative in order to shift our consideration towards building a future worthy of our progeny.

Categories
Economics Social Evolution

An Alternative to Money

Money is a very efficient medium of exchange compared to barter. The problem with money is it ties access to resources based solely on possessing it. The more money you have, the more resources you can control.

Accordingly, money is amoral because it is indifferent to the need for resources. The existence of money necessitates scarcity in the availability of resources by allowing a few people to possess control over enormous resources leaving most people on earth resource deprived.

What then is a meaningful alternative? To answer this question, I need to review a few indisputable facts:

We share one planet, which produces a finite amount of natural resources that sustains all of us.

Technological advances leverage our natural resources to produce a finite amount of finished goods and services.

If each person is empowered to possess as much resource as they are able to accumulate, there will never be enough resources for everyone.

If all people have access to the accumulation of human knowledge, they will possess the necessary information to identify their unique talents and perfect their unique skills in order to maximize their individual productivity.

If humanity guarantees access to the resources each person can use to reach and maintain their full potential, there would be no need to accumulate excess resources to ourselves.

Eliminating money, and guaranteeing access to resources eliminates price and quality differentiation of goods and services, which occur today to allow fortunes to be made on affordable, sub-standard goods and services.

If all goods and services are designed to provide the highest quality possible, enormous resources will be saved by eliminating repetitive consumption, planned obsolescence, and other economic inefficiencies common to the current global economy.

If all goods and services are provided at the highest quality possible, health and wellness will be optimized for all people.

If we shift from an ownership relationship with resources to a stewardship relationship, we will maximize utilization and minimize waste.

Currently, we possess resources that are idle until we are ready to use. Sophisticated use-share systems can be innovated that would allow people to reserve resources for when they are needed. This would make resources, now produced at the highest quality possible, available on demand.

Accordingly, access to resources will be based on what we can USE…no more and no less.

Waste and gluttony will be global security violations.

Sustainability will be restored through a system of global resource management informed by the accumulation of human knowledge.

Categories
Economics

Why Capitalism is Failing…

Capitalism was made possible by the emergence of democratic societies. These societies shed economic elitism and allowed increasing portions of the population to access wealth.

The core engine of capitalism is one of the most common basic instincts…greed. Hard work, skill acquisition, and innovation can combine to elevate a child born in poverty to great wealth and prosperity. Under these circumstances, everyone had a chance to earn financial independence. And as a result, there was no need for the poor to resent the rich because they too have the opportunity to be rich one day.

What went wrong? Greed

As the descendants of poverty elevated to great wealth, their greed inspired them to use their resources to manipulate the free market to consolidate wealth to themselves at the expense of everyone else.

The propensity of free market capitalism to create severe wealth inequality is not new. Historically, these periods of severe financial imbalance were corrected by economic depressions, which re-leveled the opportunity to access wealth for the broader society.

By the 1970’s, the Powell Manifesto encouraged wealthy people to protect their interests by investing enormous resources to co-opt the government, university system, and mass media. The point of these investments was to prevent the economic correction that restores financial opportunities for the general population.

In the 1990’s, Alan Greenspan accomplished the first “soft” landing in US history by reversing a business cycle slow down without an economic recession. And by 2009, the Congress and the Federal Reserve prevented the new Great Depression by giving the wealthiest holders of capital trillions of dollars in public funds to cover private losses. The net effect is to metastasize severe economic inequality as the new norm of the free market economy.

Free market manipulation, and economic globalism, combined with accelerated automation has effectively subjugated the broad working class to involuntary servitude.

While the wealthy have been successful preventing the restoration of economic opportunity for the general population, they have also earned the contempt of people who now understand they will never have financial security.

Categories
Economics

Living daily with one foot on a banana peel

Here we are, working harder and hopefully smarter toward the common goal of financial independence. To reach a point where we can choose to spend our limited time as we see fit. Yet, no matter how close we are to achieving our goal, we all live one mishap away from carrying a work for food sign at the side of the road.

How? Reliance on money.

If you have it, your possibilities appear endless. And if you don’t, you may starve to death while living in the wealthiest country in recorded history.

Consider one startling fact: Almost all of us have lost loved ones to curable, preventable diseases because they did not possess enough money to gain the knowledge of healthy nutrition, or to purchase food that supports wellness, or to access timely and adequate medical treatment.

Have you noticed that the highest quality goods and services are reserved only for people who have the money to pay the most? For the rest of us, we are immersed in an ocean of sub-optimal products and services that are designed to rapidly degrade so we will have little choice but to purchase the products again and again. And the worse part is many of us suffer injuries and even death resulting from the less than optimal quality of the goods and services we rely on.

This is the unspoken reality of our lives.

Up until this moment, we have been told price discrimination in the quality of goods and services is necessary because there is simply not enough resource to provide the best for everyone. The accumulation of human knowledge, coupled with relentless technological developments, have rendered scarcity of the highest quality goods and services obsolete. Stated bluntly, we now have the capability to provide the best quality for all of us.

I hear your doubt but consider a few easily verifiable facts…

  • Knowledge once gained can benefit everyone. The only reason knowledge is withheld is to give contributors exclusive rights that are sold to make money.
  • Most of the garbage gorging our global landfills are from affordable (cheap) goods that were produced to fail long before the best quality goods.
  • Most of the drain on global resources is for the production of less than optimal quality goods that are sold at prices that support our consumption-based economy. As every Economist insists, the more we consume, the better the economy. Better for whom?
  • Since the best quality is reserved only for people who can afford to pay the most, the large majority of global millionaires make their fortunes selling sub-optimal products and services to the rest of us.
  • Our current mass production of sub-optimal goods and services threatens to exhaust global resources as billions of new customers join the consumption pool, especially in India and China.

And what are the implications? If we fail to improve the efficiency of global resource utilization, future resource availability will support materially smaller global populations.

What can be done?

Educate yourself on the issue of scarcity. If we have the technology and resources to provide the highest quality goods and services to everyone, price discrimination is no longer necessary.

Despite what we have been told about our Us versus Them world, there really is no them…There is only Us.

Categories
Economics

There is enough for all of us

Free market Economics is considered the most efficient (fair) way to distribute scarce goods and services. But what if human innovation, technological development, and available natural resources have rendered scarcity unnecessary?

What if it is not necessary to compete to eat…to learn…to have shelter…to receive the care we need…to reach our full potential…to be contributing members of a global community? Would you still prefer to pursue your own happiness even at the expense of others?

Doubtful.

Technological developments are rapidly eliminating the jobs many people rely on to support themselves and their families. Sadly, many people view this fact as the tragic cost of modernity. But what if automation and AI are paving the way for humanity to free ourselves from the need to have a job to support our well-being?

We would be free to cultivate and apply the boundless, creative capabilities of human ingenuity to the areas of science, mathematics, the arts, philosophy, and so much more. Free to invest in every person so each of us can reach our full potential in the areas of our vocational passion, unconstrained by financial discrimination.

This is not Utopian mythology.

This is reality once we each accept that scarcity of the goods and services that support our well-being is no longer necessary.

If there really is enough for all of us, we no longer need to take as much for ourselves as possible.

The fact is free market Economic principles of advancing our own self-interest encourages us to take all we can, which creates the scarcity causing global human suffering.

Be the change. Life can be a global feast. Have some and pass it on.

Categories
Economics

The Dilemma of Money

Beyond the root of all evil, money is…

A lifeline to the resources that sustain us.

Often the difference between life and death.

The overseer on the modern plantation.

The sufficient condition for social interaction.

The great unequalizer.

The Midas touch of human relationships.

Our addictive undoing.

The culmination of the old paradigm.

The limit of our humanity.

The lowest denominator of infinity.

The zero sum of our abundance.

The price of our dignity.

The excuse for our disillusionment.

Our unfixable fix.

A stairway to nowhere…

The crass reduction of purpose into objectification.

The value of scarcity.

The $ign of the times.

The incentive for our extinction.

And yet the reality of our condition is we must seek money to survive another day.

By acknowledging the gilded shackles that bind us, we illuminate the path to our fulfillment.

Categories
Economics

Finding purpose in a cacophony of inhumanity

Here we are immersed in the white noise of 24/7 news chatter…real news commingled with fake news. Who has time to suspend the grind of our own lives to tell the difference? So we turn to alternative sources…the internet blogs, more Truth Sayers immersed in relentless rants designed to undermine the last shred of faith we have in any mainstream news source, politician, or public institution. Is there no end to the noise? When did we forget how to talk about our challenges and concerns without yelling past each other?

Time for each of us to take a deep breath and pause for a moment. Repeat the deep breathing until the noise fades away. Now that you have created a moment of calm, allow one question to enter your consciousness:

How do we as a humanity evolve beyond our current dilemma?

I won’t waste time providing the historical detail of the dilemma because this problem is exactly what all the ranting is about…this is why life is now so unfulfilling, even for the fortunate.

The fundamental question is how do we get from here to a more humane place?

I acknowledge the enormity of the problem is paralyzing. The fact that any necessary change will take many years, and likely last beyond our lifetimes, only makes the problem intractable. But for the sake of our progeny and our sanity, we must do something.

Where do we begin? Root causes. The root cause of any problem strips the litany of false leads & convenient scapegoats and reveals how we find ourselves here.

Our problem is pervasive scarcity. Today, countless people are starving while we throw away millions of pounds of food. Millions suffer and die from treatable diseases while thousands of available hospital beds lay empty. Billions of people live a century behind modern knowledge and technology, denying most of them the opportunity to discover their full potential. Virtually every person spends most of their lives toiling away at jobs they would never do but for the need for money.

In a world of resource abundance, how did access to resources become so limited? A system of social organization and economics where access to resources is tied to how much money you have. Since only money guarantees access, each of us is encouraged to accumulate as much money as possible. The result is a world where most of the global wealth is consolidated in very few hands, and half the world’s population is resource deprived.

If scarcity is our problem, the solution is to maximize human productivity by guaranteeing access to all the resources each of us can use to reach and maintain our full potential. The keys here include limiting consumption to what we can use, reducing waste by maximizing the quality of all goods and services, allowing all people full access to the accumulation of human knowledge, and leveraging the use of automation to eliminate the need for mundane, repetitive tasks for human labor.

Is this solution possible? Yes, but only if we reconcile our defining values to the wisdom of our experience. Each of us rely on many people to produce the conditions that sustain us. As a result, our individual well-being is a function of the well-being of every person who contributes to our living conditions.

The farmer who grows our food and the truck driver who delivers it to market…the electrician who wires our home and the mechanic who installs our brake pads…the pilot who flies our plane and the engineers who designed it…the teacher who exposed us to our life’s chosen vocation and the every person who believed in us…Each and every one of these people and many more we may never know, contribute to the conditions that make our lives worth living. And when they are distracted, undernourished, ailing and denied access to the resources they need, we suffer with faulty goods and services that often alter the trajectory of our lives.

Once each of us acknowledge our interdependence on humanity, we realize we all must matter if we want to live in a sustainable, mutually fulfilling society.

How then do we get from here to there?

Helping each person we know to understand we can best advance our self-interest by supporting the well-being of all of us. Changing the dialogue of our public policy discussions from “how does policy affects me?” to “how does policy help us?” Supporting candidates and causes that favor global unity over nationalism and sectarianism. Doing the relentlessly hard work of building an emerging critical mass of values that elevate all of humanity.

This is the task at hand, which offers purpose amidst a cacophony of inhumanity.

Is it in you?

Categories
Economics

My Declaration of Interdependence

At the founding of America, the forefathers declared independence from British rule because King George III practiced tyranny over the American colonies. In organizing the new nation, the fundamental rights of free people were acknowledged in the Bill of Rights, which defined our individual autonomy with the principle of ordered liberty. In practice, the concept of ordered liberty, which empowers government to limit our freedom where it impermissibly limits the freedom of others, has translated to freedom to advance our self interest.  Each of these events occurred within the context of economic modernization.

As societies progressed from hunter-gatherers, to agrarian, to industrial, to post industrial, to information based models, we improved productivity and accelerated innovation through specialization. The sum effect of modernity is rapid improvement in life expectancy and many other quality of life measures in exchange for a growing, yet hardly acknowledged, interdependence on humanity.

Interdependence involves mutual dependence for mutual benefit. Each of us exchange the excess productivity of our specialized skills for the remainder of the goods and services that sustain us. Interdependence is distinguished from codependency, a condition involving the dependence of one party often for the benefit of an enabling party.

In our modern society, we use money as a medium of exchange for our specialized skills. As such, money is the necessary condition for accessing all goods and services including the development of specialized skills. By limiting access to skill development based on how much money we have, modern societies create a global caste of under skilled people who are codependent on wealthy benefactors. This condition is not sustainable because the benefits are not mutual.

The first step toward a sustainable, mutually fulfilling, interdependent society is acknowledging the benefit each of us receives is tied to the ability of all of us to contribute.

The quality of the food we eat is tied to the well being of the people who produce it.

The quality of the shelter we enjoy is tied to the well being of the people who built it.

The quality of love we receive is tied to the well being of the people who provide it.

My well being is tied to the well being of every person who contributes to the conditions that sustain me.

Therefore, I gladly declare my interdependence on humanity, and I commit to support policies that advance the well being of all of us.

How about you?